Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOGE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 7.241048e-07 1.362804e-06 2.337325e-06 0.000004 0.000006 0.000009 0.000014
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 3.109943e-07 8.478073e-07 1.893781e-06 0.000004 0.000007 0.000012 0.000021
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 1.488589e-07 5.843286e-07 1.643011e-06 0.000004 0.000008 0.000016 0.000028
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 7.348444e-08 4.201051e-07 1.458864e-06 0.000004 0.000010 0.000019 0.000037
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 3.429527e-08 2.993744e-07 1.283252e-06 0.000004 0.000010 0.000023 0.000045
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 1.519684e-08 2.146215e-07 1.134797e-06 0.000004 0.000011 0.000026 0.000054
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 5.451132e-09 1.438719e-07 9.612377e-07 0.000004 0.000012 0.000029 0.000062
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 1.940029e-09 1.030873e-07 8.578219e-07 0.000004 0.000013 0.000032 0.000072
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 5.617052e-10 7.299773e-08 7.639217e-07 0.000004 0.000013 0.000035 0.000082
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 9.340823e-11 4.777526e-08 6.533010e-07 0.000004 0.000014 0.000038 0.000091
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 1.729938e-11 3.728900e-08 6.246439e-07 0.000004 0.000015 0.000043 0.000104
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 3.272662e-12 3.253371e-08 6.364559e-07 0.000004 0.000017 0.000049 0.000120
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.890870e-16 2.043712e-08 5.645343e-07 0.000004 0.000018 0.000055 0.000139
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 1.223081e-08 4.949916e-07 0.000004 0.000019 0.000060 0.000157
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 7.854582e-09 4.554154e-07 0.000004 0.000021 0.000067 0.000179
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 4.902066e-09 4.185776e-07 0.000005 0.000023 0.000074 0.000202
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 2.761021e-09 3.746460e-07 0.000005 0.000024 0.000081 0.000224
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 1.454074e-09 3.337927e-07 0.000005 0.000025 0.000088 0.000247
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 5.778073e-10 2.793481e-07 0.000004 0.000026 0.000093 0.000266
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 2.478664e-10 2.483281e-07 0.000004 0.000027 0.000099 0.000291
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 8.904291e-11 2.190812e-07 0.000004 0.000028 0.000106 0.000316
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 1.819913e-11 1.827134e-07 0.000004 0.000029 0.000111 0.000337
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 6.314272e-12 1.752814e-07 0.000004 0.000031 0.000121 0.000370